15 Aug · 07:45 MESZ · 🏸 Malaysia Int.Low · Coin Flip
SO
🇯🇵Shogo Ogawa
ELO 1513
FormLWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Ogawa
MA
🇮🇩Muhamad Rizky Akbar
ELO 1512
FormW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Ogawa
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~85 pts
2-0
37%
0-2
35%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+1
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.