15 Aug · 06:00 MESZ · 🏸 Malaysia Int. WomenMedium · Model Lean
NH
🇯🇵Nana Hisaminato
ELO 1575
FormWWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Vitidsarn
SV
🇹🇭Sarunrak Vitidsarn
ELO 1605
FormWLWWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Vitidsarn
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~85 pts
0-2
43%
2-0
29%
1-2
16%
2-1
13%
Elo Gap+30
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.