16 Aug · 06:00 MESZ · 🏸 Malaysia Int.Low · Coin Flip
SO
🇯🇵Shogo Ogawa
ELO 1513
FormLWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Masumoto
KM
🇯🇵Kosuke Masumoto
ELO 1514
FormWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Masumoto
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~85 pts
0-2
37%
2-0
34%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+1
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.