19 Aug · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 World Championships WomenMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇩🇰Mia Blichfeldt
ELO 1516
FormWLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Katethong
SK
🇹🇭Supanida Katethong
ELO 1541
FormWLWWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Katethong
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~85 pts
0-2
42%
2-0
30%
1-2
15%
2-1
13%
Elo Gap+25
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.