19 Aug · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 World Championships WomenMedium · Model Lean
UH
🇮🇳Unnati Hooda
ELO 1566
FormWLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Li
ML
🇨🇦Michelle Li
ELO 1596
FormWLLWL
41%
59%
⚡ Cover lean · Li
Fair odds · Li
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~85 pts
0-2
43%
2-0
29%
1-2
16%
2-1
13%
Elo Gap+30
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.