19 Aug · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 World ChampionshipsHigh · Clear Favorite
KN
🇭🇰Ka Long Angus Ng
ELO 1491
FormWLLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Nishimoto
KN
🇯🇵Kenta Nishimoto
ELO 1530
FormWLLLL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Nishimoto
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~85 pts
0-2
46%
2-0
25%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+39
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.