19 Aug · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 World ChampionshipsElite · Strong Favorite
MA
🇺🇸Mark Shelley Alcala
ELO 1451
FormWLLLL
92%Win chancemodel fair 1.09Lai
VL
🇨🇦Victor Lai
ELO 1661
FormWLWWW
8%
92%
Fair odds · Lai
Model 92% · 1.09vsMarket 92% · 1.09· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 72%Total ~83 pts
0-2
72%
1-2
20%
2-1
5%
2-0
3%
Elo Gap+210
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+210)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)