21 Aug · 14:30 MESZ · 🏸 World ChampionshipsLow · Slight Edge
AF
🇮🇩Alwi Farhan
ELO 1700
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Farhan
TC
🇹🇼Tien Chen Chou
ELO 1690
FormWWWLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Farhan
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~85 pts
2-0
39%
0-2
33%
1-2
14%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+10
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.