1 Sept · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 China Masters WomenMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇹🇭Supanida Katethong
ELO 1520
FormLLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Wong
LW
🇲🇾Ling Ching Wong
ELO 1542
FormLWWLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Wong
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 31% · 3.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~85 pts
0-2
41%
2-0
30%
1-2
15%
2-1
13%
Elo Gap+22
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.