2 Sept · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 China Masters WomenMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇮🇳Devika Sihag
ELO 1580
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Nalbantova
KN
🇧🇬Kaloyana Nalbantova
ELO 1596
FormLLWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Nalbantova
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
0-2
40%
2-0
32%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.