1 Sept · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 China MastersMedium · Model Lean
AA
🇩🇰Anders Antonsen
ELO 1668
FormLLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Antonsen
ZH
🇨🇳Zhe An Hu
ELO 1650
FormLLWWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Antonsen
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
2-0
40%
0-2
31%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+18
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.