1 Sept · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 China MastersLow · Slight Edge
RG
🇩🇰Rasmus Gemke
ELO 1535
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Gemke
KN
🇯🇵Kenta Nishimoto
ELO 1524
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Gemke
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~85 pts
2-0
39%
0-2
33%
2-1
14%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+11
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.