2 Sept · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 China MastersMedium · Model Lean
CL
🇹🇼Chia Hao Lee
ELO 1486
FormLLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Lee
BY
🇨🇦Brian Yang
ELO 1455
FormLLLLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Lee
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~85 pts
2-0
43%
0-2
29%
2-1
16%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+31
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.