2 Sept · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 China MastersMedium · Model Lean
PT
🇹🇭Panitchaphon Teeraratsakul
ELO 1669
FormLWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Popov
CP
🇫🇷Christo Popov
ELO 1690
FormLLLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Popov
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~85 pts
0-2
41%
2-0
31%
1-2
15%
2-1
13%
Elo Gap+21
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.