30 Aug · 08:00 MESZ · 🏸 Pontianak Int.Medium · Model Lean
GS
🇮🇳Ginpaul Sonna
ELO 1518
FormWWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Richardo
RR
🇮🇩Richie Duta Richardo
ELO 1549
FormWWWLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Richardo
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~85 pts
0-2
43%
2-0
29%
1-2
16%
2-1
13%
Elo Gap+31
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.