1 Sept · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 China Masters WomenMedium · Model Lean
HA
🇯🇵Hina Akechi
ELO 1623
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Wardani
PW
🇮🇩Putri Kusuma Wardani
ELO 1639
FormLLWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Wardani
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
0-2
40%
2-0
32%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.