2 Sept · 04:00 MESZ · 🏸 Indonesia Masters WomenMedium · Model Lean
GP
🇰🇷Ga Eun Park
ELO 1540
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Phannachet
PP
🇹🇭Passa-Orn Phannachet
ELO 1558
FormWWLLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Phannachet
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 28% · 3.62· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
0-2
40%
2-0
31%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+18
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.