2 Sept · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 China Masters WomenLow · Coin Flip
HA
🇯🇵Hina Akechi
ELO 1623
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Miyazaki
TM
🇯🇵Tomoka Miyazaki
ELO 1628
FormLLWWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Miyazaki
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~85 pts
0-2
37%
2-0
34%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+5
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.