2 Sept · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 China Masters WomenMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇨🇦Michelle Li
ELO 1618
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Li
YL
🇩🇪Yvonne Li
ELO 1589
FormLWLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Li
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~85 pts
2-0
42%
0-2
29%
2-1
16%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+29
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)