1 Sept · 07:10 MESZ · 🏸 China MastersLow · Slight Edge
GL
🇨🇳Guangzu Lu
ELO 1499
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lu
YW
🇬🇧Yuehang Wang
ELO 1490
FormL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Lu
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 96% · 1.04· vig 4%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~85 pts
2-0
38%
0-2
33%
1-2
14%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+9
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.