3 Sept · 04:00 MESZ · 🏸 Indonesia Masters WomenMedium · Model Lean
NP
🇮🇩Ni K D Amartya Pratiwi
ELO 1557
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Chan
RC
🇨🇦Rachel Chan
ELO 1574
FormWLLWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Chan
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
0-2
40%
2-0
31%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+17
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.