8 Sept · 04:00 MESZ · 🏸 Vietnam OpenMedium · Model Lean
MA
🇺🇸Mark Shelley Alcala
ELO 1433
FormLLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Huang
PH
🇹🇼Ping-Hsien Huang
ELO 1463
FormLWWLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Huang
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~85 pts
0-2
43%
2-0
29%
1-2
16%
2-1
13%
Elo Gap+30
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.