8 Sept · 04:00 MESZ · 🏸 Vietnam Open Women QualMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇹🇭Passa-Orn Phannachet
ELO 1549
FormLWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Phannachet
MG
🇵🇭Mikaela Joy De Guzman
ELO 1526
FormLLWWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Phannachet
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~85 pts
2-0
41%
0-2
30%
2-1
15%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+23
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.