9 Sept · 04:00 MESZ · 🏸 Vietnam Open WomenMedium · Model Lean
TS
🇮🇳Tanvi Sharma
ELO 1616
FormLWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Sharma
RC
🇨🇦Rachel Chan
ELO 1590
FormLWWWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Sharma
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~85 pts
2-0
42%
0-2
30%
2-1
16%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+26
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.