9 Sept · 04:00 MESZ · 🏸 Vietnam Open WomenMedium · Model Lean
TS
🇹🇭Tonrug Saeheng
ELO 1491
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Saeheng
SL
🇭🇰Sin Yan Happy Lo
ELO 1473
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Saeheng
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
2-0
40%
0-2
31%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+18
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.