8 Sept · 04:00 MESZ · 🏸 Vietnam Open QualLow · Coin Flip
ES
🇦🇺Ephraim Stephen Sam
ELO 1464
FormLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Koh
JK
🇸🇬Jia Wei Joel Koh
ELO 1468
FormLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Koh
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 83% · 1.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~85 pts
0-2
38%
2-0
34%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+4
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.