8 Sept · 04:40 MESZ · 🏸 Vietnam Open QualHigh · Clear Favorite
HN
🏸Hoang Thai Son Nguyen
ELO 1500
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Nguyen
TN
🇻🇳Tien Minh Nguyen
ELO 1464
FormLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Nguyen
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 6% · 15.85· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~85 pts
2-0
45%
0-2
25%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+36
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.