10 Sept · 09:00 MESZ · 🏸 Belgian Int.Medium · Model Lean
JC
🇩🇰Jeppe Bruun Christensen
ELO 1505
FormLLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Christensen
FC
🇮🇹Fabio Caponio
ELO 1485
FormLLLWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Christensen
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~85 pts
2-0
41%
0-2
31%
2-1
15%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+20
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.