9 Sept · 12:40 MESZ · 🏸 Vietnam OpenLow · Coin Flip
ZW
🇨🇳Zi Jun Wang
ELO 1480
FormLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Wang
JK
🇸🇬Jia Wei Joel Koh
ELO 1475
FormWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Wang
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~85 pts
2-0
37%
0-2
34%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+5
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.