10 Sept · 10:30 MESZ · 🏸 Vietnam OpenMedium · Model Lean
HN
🇻🇳Hai Dang Nguyen
ELO 1546
FormWLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Nguyen
TM
🇮🇳Tharun Mannepalli
ELO 1523
FormWWWLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Nguyen
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~85 pts
2-0
41%
0-2
30%
2-1
15%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+23
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.