10 Sept · 11:20 MESZ · 🏸 Belgian Int.Low · Slight Edge
MW
🇩🇪Mats Wohlers
ELO 1508
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Wohlers
JO
🇫🇮Joakim Oldorff
ELO 1500
FormLLWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Wohlers
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 6% · 17.92· vig 5%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~85 pts
2-0
38%
0-2
33%
1-2
14%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+8
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.