10 Sept · 13:05 MESZ · 🏸 Belgian Int. WomenLow · Slight Edge
CM
🇳🇱Chloe Mayer
ELO 1528
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mayer
CC
🇹🇼Chih-Yun Cheng
ELO 1522
FormWWLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Mayer
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 13% · 8.00· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~85 pts
2-0
38%
0-2
34%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+6
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.