11 Sept · 10:00 MESZ · 🏸 Vietnam OpenHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇯🇵Minoru Koga
ELO 1598
FormWWLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Koga
HN
🇻🇳Hai Dang Nguyen
ELO 1563
FormWWWLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Koga
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.74· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~85 pts
2-0
44%
0-2
28%
2-1
16%
1-2
12%
Elo Gap+35
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.