11 Sept · 10:35 MESZ · 🏸 Belgian Int.High · Clear Favorite
WB
🇩🇰William Bogebjerg
ELO 1581
FormWWLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Dubovenko
DD
🇮🇱Daniil Dubovenko
ELO 1620
FormWWLLW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Dubovenko
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~85 pts
0-2
46%
2-0
25%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+39
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.