17 Sept · 09:00 MESZ · 🏸 Polish Int.Low · Coin Flip
OT
🇺🇦Oleksii Titov
ELO 1461
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Rose
ER
🇬🇧Ethan Rose
ELO 1463
FormLLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Rose
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~85 pts
0-2
37%
2-0
34%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+2
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.