17 Sept · 09:00 MESZ · 🏸 Polish Int.Medium · Model Lean
SV
🇩🇪Sanjeevi Padmanabhan Vasudevan
ELO 1563
FormLWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Vasudevan
AW
🇫🇷Arthur Wakhevitsch
ELO 1535
FormLWWWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Vasudevan
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~85 pts
2-0
42%
0-2
29%
2-1
16%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+28
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.