17 Sept · 18:15 MESZ · 🏸 Polish Int.High · Clear Favorite
AS
🇸🇰Andrej Suchy
ELO 1519
FormWWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Toti
GT
🇮🇹Giovanni Toti
ELO 1552
FormLWWWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Toti
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 94% · 1.07· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~85 pts
0-2
43%
2-0
28%
1-2
16%
2-1
12%
Elo Gap+33
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.