18 Sept · 14:15 MESZ · 🏸 Polish Int.Elite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇩🇰Marcus Kruse
ELO 1505
FormWLLWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Toti
GT
🇮🇹Giovanni Toti
ELO 1570
FormWWLWW
32%
68%
Fair odds · Toti
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 86% · 1.17· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~85 pts
0-2
51%
2-0
20%
1-2
17%
2-1
12%
Elo Gap+65
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)