25 Sept · 02:00 MESZ · 🏸 Asian GamesLow · Coin Flip
AN
🇲🇻Ahmed Nibal
ELO 1477
FormLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Nettasinghe
VN
🇱🇰Viren Nettasinghe
ELO 1482
FormLLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Nettasinghe
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 94% · 1.06· vig 5%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~85 pts
0-2
38%
2-0
34%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+5
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.