25 Sept · 02:00 MESZ · 🏸 Asian Games WomenMedium · Model Lean
TN
🇻🇳Thuy Linh Nguyen
ELO 1540
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Wiryawan
TW
🇮🇩Thalita Ramadhani Wiryawan
ELO 1556
FormLLWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Wiryawan
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 28% · 3.62· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
0-2
40%
2-0
32%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.