25 Sept · 04:30 MESZ · 🏸 Asian Games WomenMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇹🇼Pin-Chian Chiu
ELO 1528
FormLWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Chiu
KL
🇲🇾Karupathevan Letshanaa
ELO 1510
FormLWLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Chiu
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
2-0
40%
0-2
31%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+18
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.