25 Sept · 02:00 MESZ · 🏸 Asian Games WomenMedium · Model Lean
RL
🇱🇰Ranithma Liyanage
ELO 1471
FormLLWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Sherchan
RS
🏸Rihanna Sherchan
ELO 1500
42%
58%
Fair odds · Sherchan
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 4% · 26.95· vig 4%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~85 pts
0-2
42%
2-0
29%
1-2
16%
2-1
13%
Elo Gap+29
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.