25 Sept · 14:30 MESZ · 🏸 South American GamesMedium · Model Lean
AA
🇵🇪Adriano V Aguirre
ELO 1478
FormLWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Oliveira
DO
🇧🇷Donnians Oliveira
ELO 1507
FormLLWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Oliveira
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~85 pts
0-2
42%
2-0
29%
1-2
16%
2-1
13%
Elo Gap+29
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)