27 Sept · 04:30 MESZ · 🏸 Asian GamesLow · Slight Edge
TY
🇰🇷Tae Bin Yoo
ELO 1660
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Yoo
KN
🇯🇵Kodai Naraoka
ELO 1652
FormWLWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Yoo
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 32% · 3.08· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~85 pts
2-0
38%
0-2
33%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+8
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.