27 Sept · 06:00 MESZ · 🏸 Asian GamesLow · Slight Edge
AF
🇮🇩Alwi Farhan
ELO 1682
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Farhan
TC
🇹🇼Tien Chen Chou
ELO 1675
FormLLLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Farhan
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~85 pts
2-0
38%
0-2
33%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+7
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.