30 Sept · 12:35 MESZ · 🏸 Dutch Open QualElite · Strong Favorite
MD
🇱🇻Matiss Deksnis
ELO 1395
FormLL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Duwel
MD
🇳🇱Mats Duwel
ELO 1481
FormLLLLW
27%
73%
Fair odds · Duwel
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 94% · 1.07· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~84 pts
0-2
54%
2-0
20%
1-2
19%
2-1
7%
Elo Gap+86
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)