30 Sept · 13:10 MESZ · 🏸 Dutch Open QualMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇳🇱Dennis Koppen
ELO 1483
FormLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Alok
AA
🏸Akash Kumar Alok
ELO 1500
45%
55%
Fair odds · Alok
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 6% · 15.85· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
0-2
40%
2-0
31%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+17
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.