30 Sept · 16:10 MESZ · 🏸 Dutch Open QualElite · Strong Favorite
BC
🇵🇹Bruno Carvalho
ELO 1395
FormLLLLL
95%Win chancemodel fair 1.05Pongratz
LP
🇩🇪Luis Pongratz
ELO 1653
FormLWWLW
5%
95%
Fair odds · Pongratz
Model 95% · 1.05vsMarket 91% · 1.10· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 75%Total ~83 pts
0-2
75%
1-2
20%
2-1
3%
2-0
2%
Elo Gap+258
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+258)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)