30 Sept · 14:20 MESZ · 🏸 Dutch Open QualHigh · Clear Favorite
OH
🇳🇱Olaf Hermus
ELO 1500
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Hermus
ER
🇬🇧Ethan Rose
ELO 1463
FormLLLW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Hermus
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 4% · 26.95· vig 4%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~85 pts
2-0
46%
0-2
25%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+37
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.