30 Sept · 16:10 MESZ · 🏸 Dutch Open Women QualElite · Strong Favorite
NW
🇳🇱Novi Wieland
ELO 1505
FormLLWWL
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Wieland
NS
🇸🇰Natalia Slobodova
ELO 1380
FormLLLLL
81%
19%
Fair odds · Wieland
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 89% · 1.12· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 70%Total ~83 pts
2-0
70%
1-2
11%
2-1
11%
0-2
8%
Elo Gap+125
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)